Weber State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
93  Mike Hardy SR 31:49
157  Trevor Ricks SR 32:01
215  Thomas Worob SR 32:13
604  Tyler Robinson JR 33:02
771  Preston Johnson SO 33:17
796  Jason Kearns SO 33:19
1,159  Brett Lechtenberg SR 33:53
1,832  Derek Day SO 34:45
National Rank #45 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #8 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 6.7%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.5%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.5%
Top 10 in Regional 99.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mike Hardy Trevor Ricks Thomas Worob Tyler Robinson Preston Johnson Jason Kearns Brett Lechtenberg Derek Day
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 764 31:33 31:35 32:51 33:03 34:29 33:46
Color County Invitational 10/10 34:54
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 876 31:46 32:35 32:38 33:24 34:02 33:02 34:20
Big Sky Conference Championships 11/01 755 31:46 32:01 32:17 32:59 32:59 33:38 33:36 34:35
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 719 32:17 31:54 31:41 32:57 32:46 33:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 6.7% 26.3 632 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.9
Region Championship 100% 7.7 212 0.4 2.1 9.1 33.1 28.2 24.6 2.2 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mike Hardy 54.3% 87.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Trevor Ricks 26.6% 108.2
Thomas Worob 11.0% 132.8
Tyler Robinson 6.7% 224.0
Preston Johnson 6.7% 237.6
Jason Kearns 6.7% 238.6
Brett Lechtenberg 6.7% 249.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mike Hardy 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.8 3.1 3.5 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.8 3.8 4.1 3.4 3.4 3.3
Trevor Ricks 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.0 3.6 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.8
Thomas Worob 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.5
Tyler Robinson 58.9
Preston Johnson 67.0
Jason Kearns 68.5
Brett Lechtenberg 83.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.4% 90.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 4
5 2.1% 74.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.5 5
6 9.1% 52.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.0 4.3 4.7 6
7 33.1% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 33.1 0.0 7
8 28.2% 28.2 8
9 24.6% 24.6 9
10 2.2% 2.2 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 6.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.0 93.3 0.0 6.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0